Grand Rapids Rampage @ San Jose SaberCats
Why to Watch
The AFL playoffs have been a land of opportunity for teams that have struggled to find themselves in the regular season but some how get on remarkable runs to steal the show. In 2006 the Chicago Rush finished 7-9 and won the ArenaBowl. Last season Columbus (7-9) tried to duplicate the Rush run but fell short in the ArenaBowl to San Jose. Now the Rampage who have one less win than those two 7-9 ball clubs is looking to pull off another huge upset on the road vs. the No. 2 seed and defending champs. Last week they shocked everyone win their upset win over top seeded Chicago. Now they take their own 5-game winning streak into the Pavilion and face a red hot SaberCats squad that has won 7 in a row overall. All season long the Rampage have lived and died with their ability to put up a lot of points. But in the playoffs it has been the near perfect execution of their offense combined with a stingy defense that allowed over 60 points per game in the regular season, but has allowed just 41 points in each of their two postseason games. The Rampage are looking to beat the No. 3, No. 1 and No. 2 seeds to make the trip to New Orleans.
The SaberCats put an end to Columbus’ Cinderella dream season last year in the ArenaBowl with a dominating and convincing win. They will be looking to duplicate their efforts and represent the American Conference for the second straight season and attempt to be the first team to repeat since the 1995-96 Tampa Bay Storm. The SaberCats have not only been the best team in the AFL since 2000, they have also been one of the best home teams in the AFL including winning 20 of the their last 22 games. It is tough to win in San Jose and the SaberCats like last year are playing their best football in the second half of the season and come into the playoffs red-hot winning 7 straight overall. This is a hungry veteran laden team filled with winners but mixed in with some new young talent, so do not expect the SaberCats to take the Rampage for granted. With leaders like QB Mark Grieb, WR James Roe and DB Clevan Thomas expect a great effort from the defending champs and this should be another exciting match up!
Keys to the Game
One more time for the Rampage “D”! The Rampage are known for their ability to put up points in a hurry this season setting the record for most times (4) scoring 80 plus points in a single game. But in these playoffs no one would argue that the catalyst has been their defense. The Rampage 16th ranked defense (60.5 pts/gm) has stolen the show and this is the major reason why they are in this game facing the defending champs for a chance to go the big game. The Rampage need another huge effort from their defense because their facing a more experienced and explosive offensive unit. It is remarkable for a defense to allow almost 20 points less per game in the playoffs than what they did in the regular season.
Look to play a physical game with the Rampage receivers! The San Jose defense led the AFL in forced turnovers and sacks. This is the kind of pressure both up front and in the secondary that the SaberCats can put on an opponent. The Rampage will adjust their offense to the situation so you can see the short, quick passing game early to slow down the San Jose pressure. The SaberCats have one of the best trios of starting defensive backs in the AFL -- this group will get after opposing receivers and they all have consistently made big plays in the secondary. They are the most aggressive trio of defensive backs in the AFL and they should look to challenge the Rampage receivers at the line of scrimmage with tight man press coverage at every opportunity.
Red Zone battle! The SaberCats are the best red zone team in the AFL on both sides of the football while the Rampage were 16th on offense and dead last on defense (88%). But in these playoffs the Rampage defense has been outstanding in the red zone making big stops and forcing turnovers. Can the Rampage come up with a few more stops vs. the SaberCats, who have converted 91.8% of their scoring chances inside the 10?
Key Match Ups
Grand Rapids WR Kenny Higgins vs. San Jose DB Clevan Thomas
Thomas continued his furious finish to the regular season with another interception last week in the win over Colorado. The key to this match up is for Thomas to not allow Higgins much space to run free before or after the catch. Thomas has been one of the best at challenging receivers at the line of scrimmage in press coverage and he will battle for the football as he is second all-time in interceptions. Higgins has shown his explosive ability in the playoffs and he must rise to the physical challenge he will not only face from Thomas but from Omar Smith and Marquis Floyd as well.
Grand Rapids DB Ahmad Hawkins vs. San Jose WR Cleannord Saintil
Saintil replaced the departed Ben Nelson in the SaberCats offense during the off-season and he responded big time in the regular season, leading the ‘Cats in receiving yards (1,503) and touchdowns (35). He brought speed and another big play wide out to this offense and with James Roe banged up he may be asked to do even more in this game. Hawkins has had a strong year for the Rampage and his experience and leadership in the middle of the secondary has paid dividends for the Rampage. Now the entire secondary has played well, which should free up Hawkins to look to make the type of big plays that allowed him to tie an AFL record for picks (13) last season.
Edge: San Jose